On the Testability of Causal Models With Latent and Instrumental Variables

نویسنده

  • Judea Pearl
چکیده

Certain causal models involving unmea­ sured variables induce no independence constraints among the observed variables but imply, nevertheless, inequality con­ straints on the observed distribution. This paper derives a general formula for such in­ equality constraints as induced by instru­ mental variables, that is, exogenous vari­ ables that directly affect some variables but not all. With the help of this formula, it is possible to test whether a model involving instrumental variables may account for the data, or, conversely, whether a given vari­ able can be deemed instrumental.

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تاریخ انتشار 1995